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An up-and-down season towards a tricky slate has come to its end in a bowl matchup on the islands on Christmas Eve.
BYU (7-5) kicks off at 6 p.m. MST Tuesday, Dec. 24, towards Hawaii (9-5) within the SoFi Hawaii Bowl on ESPN, performed within the Warriors’ dwelling of Aloha Stadium.
Let’s check out what oddsmakers and pc predictions need to say in regards to the matchup.
(That is, in fact, for leisure functions solely. Whereas we don’t encourage playing, referencing predictions from the individuals who make cash on them may be enjoyable!)
LINES AND ODDS
BYU is favored by 1 level in most books, with just a few that at the moment are displaying choose ‘em. The over/underneath is 64 or 65, relying on the e-book.
Vegas traces and odds aren’t essentially meant to foretell, however to entice betting. Nevertheless, combining the road and the over/underneath normally finally ends up near some pc fashions.
Combining the road and the over/underneath, the betting combo has BYU successful about 33-32.
PREDICTIVE RANKINGS
Some pc rankings are designed to supply a built-in predictive aspect by evaluating the scores of two groups.
Probably the most well-known of pc scores is Jeff Sagarin’s for USA At present, beforehand used within the BCS pc rankings, however I’ve gathered a pair others from across the internet as nicely.
SAGARIN
BYU is ranked #64 with a ranking of 70.20
Hawaii is ranked #76 with a ranking of 67.30
Sagarin’s formulation at present values dwelling area benefit as price 2.33 factors, which we’ll allocate to Hawaii for his or her dwelling bowl sport. Subtracting the distinction between the scores and including home-field factors, Sagarin has BYU by Zero.5 factors.
BILLINGSLEY
Billingsley’s rating was additionally beforehand utilized by the BCS. With the BCS restriction to take away margin of victory now not a consideration, Billingsley has created a model of his formulation that accounts for MOV.
BYU is ranked #75. Hawaii is ranked #79.
New to his web site, Billingsley offers a direct unfold prediction. This week: BYU by Zero.66.
DONCHESS INFERENCE RATING
Donchess boils down the scores immediately into digestible scores and possibilities, no math required.
This ranking has BYU successful 29-28 at a 52% chance.
RANKING BY POSITION
SPORTS-REFERENCE
S-R is a unbelievable library of information so ensure you help them by clicking by way of to the positioning and skimming.
Sports activities-Reference makes use of one thing it calls a Easy Rankings System (SRS). It describes SRS as “a ranking that takes under consideration common level differential and power of schedule.” The ranking is expressed in factors above/beneath common, with zero being common.
BYU is ranked #56 with a ranking of two.08. Hawaii is ranked #74 with a ranking of -Zero.13.
COMPOSITE RATING
There are lots of pc scores that aren’t packaged with a predictive potential. There are additionally a ton of pc scores, interval. Kenneth Massey, whose scores have been additionally a part of the outdated BCS pc formulation, hosts on his web site a composite rating of what’s at present 106 pc scores throughout the web.
BYU is ranked #52 and Hawaii is ranked #54.
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